In NYSRPA v Bruen orals, Alito quite clearly reaffirmed what I had been saying since the 2008 Heller case, that the right is understood as it was in the 19th-century. Heller indicated that when Justice Scalia said;
"Like most rights, the right secured by the Second Amendment is not unlimited. From Blackstone through the 19th-century cases, commentators and courts routinely explained that the right was not a right to keep and carry any weapon whatsoever in any manner whatsoever and for whatever purpose. See, e.g., Sheldon, in 5 Blume 346; Rawle 123; Pomeroy 152–153; Abbott 333.
For example, the majority of the 19th-century courts to consider the question held that prohibitions on carrying concealed weapons were lawful under the Second Amendment or state analogues. "
and other comments made using the Nunn v Georgia case. A no brainer in my opinion, but even Clement, or he's just playin' along for his client, thinks that the tradition can be moved further away from its original understanding, as illustrated by his comments about New York's tradition of licensing concealed carry. Though, that goes completely against the text, history and tradition of the right and why Sotomayor cornered him with her question. I do have to say, these $2000hr attorneys sure do have command of the English language, but his response was all just rebuttal BS.
The question presented was changed by the court to this specific question:
GRANTED LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING QUESTION: WHETHER THE STATE'S DENIAL OF PETITIONERS' APPLICATIONS FOR CONCEALED-CARRY LICENSES FOR SELF-DEFENSE VIOLATED THE SECOND AMENDMENT.
CERT. GRANTED 4/26/2021
Text, history and tradition from the 19-century, says concealed carry can be prohibited all together and therefore, any requirement to get a permit to do just that, can be whatever they choose, so long as it's not capricious and arbitrary. NYSRPA will lose, and any Justice that votes for NYSRPA, is legislating from the bench, as there is no right to carry concealed firearms. It should be an 8-0 decision in favor of Bruen (New York State)
THE RIGHT AS UNDERSTOOD IN THE 19TH-CENTURY
(Just like they said in the Heller case. Woow, imagine that.)
New York State Rifle & Pistol Assn. v. Bruen
From Oral Arguments:
JUSTICE ALITO: Well, Heller -- and -and I will stop after this - Heller cited decisions going into the 19th century as confirmation of what it had already concluded based on text and history at or before the time of the adoption of the Second Amendment and said this is what it was understood to mean at the time and it's further evidence that this is what this right was understood to mean because it kept being reaffirmed by decisions that came after. But I find it hard to understand how later decisions and statutes, particularly when you start to get into the late 19th century and the early 20th century, can be used as a substitute for evidence about what the right was understood to mean in 1791 or 1868, if you think that's the relevant date.
Neither side (NYSRPA or NY) gives a rats ass about open carry at this point. And from oral arguments neither does Scotus, as those who mentioned it were using it as nothing more than a wedge issue.
The 6 conservatives didn’t take the bait.
NYSRPA wins on shall issue 6-3 with varying opinions on side issues (sensitive zones, scrutiny,exc).