Application Progress Tracking Thread

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  • lazarus

    Ultimate Member
    Jun 23, 2015
    13,752
    I am trying to be good and only checking my email a bunch. Which I do anyway. I am logging in to check in the morning and end of my work day. Granted I only JUST hit submit last Friday.

    I’ll probably crack by next week and check every hour.
     

    rbird7282

    Ultimate Member
    MDS Supporter
    Dec 6, 2012
    18,764
    Columbia
    Applied 7/8
    Accepted 7/12
    NICS 7/26
    Standing by……..


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    Approved 8/2. No investigator assigned, no references contacted. 21 days from acceptance to approval.
    giphy.gif



    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     

    308Scout

    Ultimate Member
    MDS Supporter
    Mar 27, 2020
    6,683
    Washington County
    Tracking update now that we have 50 approval data points. I rearranged the data a bit. The data is sorted by approval date and then submission date. For approvals starting around 7/28 and on, there seems to a pretty solid day-for-day rolling correlation between accepted date and approval date with ~19-21 days between them.

    1659460282017.png


    1659460321074.png
     

    gtodave

    Member
    MDS Supporter
    Aug 14, 2007
    14,468
    Mt Airy
    Tracking update now that we have 50 approval data points. I rearranged the data a bit. The data is sorted by approval date and then submission date. For approvals starting around 7/28 and on, there seems to a pretty solid day-for-day rolling correlation between accepted date and approval date with ~19-21 days between them.

    View attachment 374943

    View attachment 374944
    Did you mean 6/28? Or 7/8? 7/28 was 5 days ago.

    EDIT: BTW thanks for putting that together!
     

    308Scout

    Ultimate Member
    MDS Supporter
    Mar 27, 2020
    6,683
    Washington County
    Did you mean 6/28? 7/28 was 5 days ago.

    EDIT: BTW thanks for putting that together!
    Nope - 7/28. The correlation between acceptance and approval really crystalized sometime last week. Assuming the MSP workflow got more efficient around that time. It was less predictable before last week.
     

    MRH

    Never sell your sword
    MDS Supporter
    Oct 5, 2020
    1,716
    Chesapeake Bay
    The trend is holding...

    My application number is 22HGP0184XX
    I started it on 6/24/22 (when it was given a number)
    I submitted the complete application on 7/7/22
    I received the auto generated "Your Application Has Been Submitted For Review" email on 7/7/22
    I received the application accepted notification 1:17 PM 7/12/22
    NICS number assigned 7/26/22

    Didn't happen******************************************************************
    I received the application has been assigned to an investigator ...............
    My interview was held .............
    My wife was contacted .............
    1st Reference contacted ..............
    2nd Reference contacted ..............
    3rd Reference contacted ..............
    ********************************************************************************


    Approved on 8/2 @ 1:52 PM

    Will miracles ever cease!
     

    E.Shell

    Ultimate Member
    Feb 5, 2007
    10,355
    Mid-Merlind
    Tracking update now that we have 50 approval data points. I rearranged the data a bit. The data is sorted by approval date and then submission date. For approvals starting around 7/28 and on, there seems to a pretty solid day-for-day rolling correlation between accepted date and approval date with ~19-21 days between them.

    View attachment 374943

    View attachment 374944


    THANK YOU VERY MUCH!! This has been very interesting and I appreciate your work on this!
     

    Inigoes

    Head'n for the hills
    MDS Supporter
    Dec 21, 2008
    49,627
    SoMD / West PA
    If that holds up, I should get my approval next Friday. Accepted date was 7/22

    Tracking update now that we have 50 approval data points. I rearranged the data a bit. The data is sorted by approval date and then submission date. For approvals starting around 7/28 and on, there seems to a pretty solid day-for-day rolling correlation between accepted date and approval date with ~19-21 days between them.

    View attachment 374943

    View attachment 374944
    I am thinking those that had a NICS on 7/26 are getting approved today.
    NICS dated 7/27 should be getting approved tomorrow.
     

    BUFF7MM

    ☠Buff➐㎣☠
    Mar 4, 2009
    13,579
    Garrett County
    It will be interesting to see if the time stretch out more with the more applications submitted. My wife daughter and son-in-law have a class schedule October 8-9 so I’m definitely curious to see how long it will take them to get approved
     

    RobRockz

    Member
    Dec 3, 2021
    89
    Calvert County
    Today is my 14-day mark, since acceptance, also and I just got a NICS #!
    Nice! I’m still waiting. I think I’m going to chase parked cars and play in traffic to pass the time. I’m already pissed at the Nationals for trading Soto what’s one more disappointment today going to hurt? Lol
     
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