Anyone have a breakdown of MD Carry permit numbers by county/city?

[308Scout]

Thanks @Some Guy ! Here is the data considered against county population and sorted by % of population with permits. The totals exclude non-resident data.

County	Population	Permits	%
Garrett	28,856​	1,615​	5.6%​
Calvert	93,244​	4,893​	5.2%​
Carroll	173,225​	8,624​	5.0%​
Queen Anne's	50,316​	2,423​	4.8%​
St. Mary's	113,814​	5,475​	4.8%​
Charles	167,035​	7,602​	4.6%​
Caroline	33,320​	1,505​	4.5%​
Allegany	68,161​	2,866​	4.2%​
Harford	261,059​	10,912​	4.2%​
Cecil	103,876​	4,170​	4.0%​
Dorchester	32,557​	1,281​	3.9%​
Washington	154,645​	5,600​	3.6%​
Worcester	52,827​	1,856​	3.5%​
Talbot	37,663​	1,300​	3.5%​
AA	588,109​	18,796​	3.2%​
Baltimore Co.	850,737​	26,311​	3.1%​
Somerset	24,672​	757​	3.1%​
Frederick	273,829​	7,909​	2.9%​
Kent	19,289​	554​	2.9%​
Wicomico	103,815​	2,736​	2.6%​
PG	957,189​	21,577​	2.3%​
Balt City	584,548​	12,553​	2.1%​
Howard	332,011​	5,735​	1.7%​
Montgomery	1,056,910​	9,442​	0.9%​
MD Totals	6,161,707​	166,492​	2.7%​

 

[Mark75H]

I believe the Kent County population is within a few hundred of the original 1790 census. History and tradition.

 

[Some Guy]

Thanks @Some Guy ! Here is the data considered against county population and sorted by % of population with permits. The totals exclude non-resident data.

County	Population	Permits	%
Garrett	28,856​	1,615​	5.6%​
Calvert	93,244​	4,893​	5.2%​
Carroll	173,225​	8,624​	5.0%​
Queen Anne's	50,316​	2,423​	4.8%​
St. Mary's	113,814​	5,475​	4.8%​
Charles	167,035​	7,602​	4.6%​
Caroline	33,320​	1,505​	4.5%​
Allegany	68,161​	2,866​	4.2%​
Harford	261,059​	10,912​	4.2%​
Cecil	103,876​	4,170​	4.0%​
Dorchester	32,557​	1,281​	3.9%​
Washington	154,645​	5,600​	3.6%​
Worcester	52,827​	1,856​	3.5%​
Talbot	37,663​	1,300​	3.5%​
AA	588,109​	18,796​	3.2%​
Baltimore Co.	850,737​	26,311​	3.1%​
Somerset	24,672​	757​	3.1%​
Frederick	273,829​	7,909​	2.9%​
Kent	19,289​	554​	2.9%​
Wicomico	103,815​	2,736​	2.6%​
PG	957,189​	21,577​	2.3%​
Balt City	584,548​	12,553​	2.1%​
Howard	332,011​	5,735​	1.7%​
Montgomery	1,056,910​	9,442​	0.9%​
MD Totals	6,161,707​	166,492​	2.7%​

Great analysis, thanks a lot @308Scout. This is great analytical information for W&C permit instructors, as well as those that are socially and politically engaging on 2A issues. In most "free" states I think around 6-10% of the population have CCW/W&C permits.

 

[scottyfz6]

Thanks @Some Guy ! Here is the data considered against county population and sorted by % of population with permits. The totals exclude non-resident data.

County	Population	Permits	%
Garrett	28,856​	1,615​	5.6%​
Calvert	93,244​	4,893​	5.2%​
Carroll	173,225​	8,624​	5.0%​
Queen Anne's	50,316​	2,423​	4.8%​
St. Mary's	113,814​	5,475​	4.8%​
Charles	167,035​	7,602​	4.6%​
Caroline	33,320​	1,505​	4.5%​
Allegany	68,161​	2,866​	4.2%​
Harford	261,059​	10,912​	4.2%​
Cecil	103,876​	4,170​	4.0%​
Dorchester	32,557​	1,281​	3.9%​
Washington	154,645​	5,600​	3.6%​
Worcester	52,827​	1,856​	3.5%​
Talbot	37,663​	1,300​	3.5%​
AA	588,109​	18,796​	3.2%​
Baltimore Co.	850,737​	26,311​	3.1%​
Somerset	24,672​	757​	3.1%​
Frederick	273,829​	7,909​	2.9%​
Kent	19,289​	554​	2.9%​
Wicomico	103,815​	2,736​	2.6%​
PG	957,189​	21,577​	2.3%​
Balt City	584,548​	12,553​	2.1%​
Howard	332,011​	5,735​	1.7%​
Montgomery	1,056,910​	9,442​	0.9%​
MD Totals	6,161,707​	166,492​	2.7%​

What would be interesting is to see it weighted by removing those under 21 Yo. Aka what % of over 21 have their HGP.

 

[madmantrapper]

I didn't think under 21 could get a permit.

 

[Mark75H]

Yes, under 21 can get permits. They always have been able. Pre-Bruen they had to have a letter from an employer explaining why they needed it. I have not heard the post-Bruen policy.

 

[Threeband]

That's the point. What percentage of adults have a permit?

 

[Biggfoot44]

Take it a step further, and subtract the Obvious Prohibited Persons . No , you can't get a firm number of total Prohibited. But Number of Adult System persons Imcarcerated , or under Parole or Probation exists , and if not Public, should be easily obtained. Heck " Criminal Justice Reform " minded politicians regularly spout such numbers and percentages, if you asked , I'm sure they would talk your ear off , for as long as you could keep a straight face .

Numbers exist for Active Weed Card Holders .

**************************

While the above drilling down is interesting for intellectual curiosity. But the long established Metrics of comparison between Jurisdictions, and same Jurisdictions over time , has always been total number of Permits , divided by overall population. Since the proliferation of Permitless Carry in majority of the country , the numbers have both become unquantifable, and actually changed .

But still , the numbers from the Heydays of the Shall Issue Era are the best numbers we have , or are likely to ever have .

And Maryland isn't doing bad . 2.9% would have been average- ish for Shall Issue states , 20- ish years ago .

I am very happy to have been proven wrong in my initial estimate in how quickly we reached current numbers . But the statistics and anecdotal observations do show a leveling off of New Permits, and my Today's Prediction is for a plateau around 3.5% .

******************

Further meanwhile ; for an oversimplified rule of thumb guesstimate of Permits/ Eligible Population , using nationwide percentages .

22% Under 18
19% Over 65

Yeah , there's plenty of Old Farts packing heat , but that's balanced by 18- 20 year Olds in Jurisdictions that generally don't allow Conceal Carry for under 21 .

8 % Convicted Felons

Roughly 50 % removed from the Pool . Unknowable numbers for 18-64 non Felon alcoholics, Additics, and seriously crazy, but 50 % of total population will put the right ballpark .

Gender and ethnicity factors get quickly into the weeds .

Females and Minorities have recently been the fastest growing categories for oercent increase of both Ownership and Carry . And those are good things à Everbody has the same rights , and numbers will continue to work towards the Overall Population means . But 2022 numbers still have Female Permit Holders at 29% of overall Permit Holders , so still significant skewing Male .

 

[Bob A]

That's the point. What percentage of adults have a permit?

There are 4,775,396 adults, (949,890 of whom are seniors) in Maryland.*
With about 166,500 permit holders, it works out to be almost 3.5%

I'm not aware of how many valid permit holders have committed gun crimes, but I haven't heard any buzz about it, so I assume it's a verylow number.

It goes without saying that the GA is NOT interested in public safety; rather, their focus is on disarming the law-abiding. I have seen NOTHING contrary to that viewpoint.

*https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/maryland-population

 

[BurkeM]

It goes without saying that the GA is NOT interested in public safety; rather, their focus is on disarming the law-abiding. I have seen NOTHING contrary to that viewpoint.

*https://worldpopulationreview.com/states/maryland-population

CORRECT