Decision 2022 - Primary Election

[adit]

"Fat Larry" won because he was able to get enough people in critical areas to put him over the top both times! Moreover, Anthony Brown and Ben Jealous were bad candidates and Democrats bailed on them when they won their respective primaries.

No one knows a thing about Wes Moore. Wait for the girlfriends and wannabe's to start coming out of the cracks (assuming they exist). They aren't going to be able to pay them all off (assuming they would do something like this).

Perez and Franchot each were the spoilers against the other. If just one of the two ran they would have easily beat Moore. There may be bitter pills to swallow and they could go against Moore.

 

[klutch]

And he campaigned and governed as a de facto Independent . Essentially on a nuts & bolts Good Governance platform .

And he was indeed more competent and less corrupt than typical Dem . Scaled back a little , but didn't seriously take on Dem ideas and priorities . And was in tune Maryland voter sensibilities by being outspoken Anti Trump

Anyone who thought Hogan was going to be God's gift to conservatives should have been in for a rude awakening! Too many people bought into the rhetoric and not the substance! The thing is, what do you expect in a state such as ours where conservatives are shunned so badly?

With that said, he was able to reach across the aisle to some reasonable folks there. Nevertheless, I feel that he made some big errors during his Governorship. He should never have made such an effort to oust Steve Waugh in District 29 back in 2018. He could've use those efforts to help out vulnerable Republicans (of which there were several) throughout the state therby possibly increasing those numbers so that he had less of a likelihood of having a veto-proof majority in the General Assembly. He could've built the party, but failed to do so.

 

[klutch]

No one knows a thing about Wes Moore. Wait for the girlfriends and wannabe's to start coming out of the cracks (assuming they exist). They aren't going to be able to pay them all off (assuming they would do something like this).

I wouldn't count on this. Moreover, Democrats will usually back up their own no matter how bad they are.

 

[klutch]

Perez and Franchot each were the spoilers against the other. If just one of the two ran they would have easily beat Moore. There may be bitter pills to swallow and they could go against Moore.

Franchot has his assets, but I don't rule out his age working against him. Yes, he is healthy, but would his health be enough to carry him through another four to eight years? Perez might've had a chance.

 

[adit]

I wouldn't count on this. Moreover, Democrats will usually back up their own no matter how bad they are.

True. But if you are able to peel off some D's and carry the Indy's you can win, like Fat Larry did.

There is a lot of time between now and 10/27/22 (when early voting starts). Dirt will come out. There is always dirt. Sometime the dirt is real, and sometimes it's not.

 

[klutch]

True. But if you are able to peel off some D's and carry the Indy's you can win, like Fat Larry did.

There is a lot of time between now and 10/27/22 (when early voting starts). Dirt will come out. There is always dirt. Sometime the dirt is real, and sometimes it's not.

Larry Hogan and Dan Cox are very different people! Larry is more of a moderate and could appeal to the urbanites and suburbanites rather well. That is why he got elected in the first place! Plus having mediocre candidates didn't hurt! Cox is much more a conservative. While I realize he may be taking his campaign to the inner cities, I wonder how much of his message is going to resonate with those people as well as the suburbanites he needs in order to win?

 

[adit]

Larry Hogan and Dan Cox are very different people! Larry is more of a moderate and could appeal to the urbanites and suburbanites rather well. That is why he got elected in the first place! Plus having mediocre candidates didn't hurt! Cox is much more a conservative. While I realize he may be taking his campaign to the inner cities, I wonder how much of his message is going to resonate with those people as well as the suburbanites he needs in order to win?

Larry was not considered a moderate when he was first elected. The left just didn't like Brownstain, or Jealous for that matter.

 

[klutch]

Larry was not considered a moderate when he was first elected. The left just didn't like Brownstain, or Jealous for that matter.

People bought into the rhetoric and ignored the substance when he first campaigned. Many people were surprised when he let down many conservatives, but I wasn't!

 

[klutch]

Well, with the official results of the primary election now in, I'll give my thoughts.

There were a few surprises, a number of disappointments and areas where we will have our work cut out for us. I'll elaborate on this in much greater detail as the election season progresses, but for now, I'll give a more vague analysis.

Dan Cox's victory didn't surprise me all that much. I had a feeling the MAGA crowd would do all they could to get their way. Yes, Cox is good for us on the right to keep and bear arms. I give him much credit for going into the cities and suburbs to do some of his campaigning. The bottom line is, will it be enough? A similar situation is to be had with Michael Peroutka. True, like Cox, he was the choice for a great number of patriots and conservatives, but can he win over enough of the vote in the urban and suburban areas to win? Sorry, but I'm highly doubtful! PROVE ME WRONG!

Wes Moore's victory wasn't all that surprising. I had a feeling it would either be him, Franchot or Perez. Unlike in the last two gubernatorial elections, the party is strongly united behind Moore! They will go to bat for him in a way that the party wouldn't do it for Ben Jealous or Anthony Brown. Another factor we have to deal with is should the effects of any GOP fallout carry on down-ticket, Moore (assuming he's elected) will likely have a General Assembly that will kow-tow to him and give him and his sympathizers the agenda he wants! Not only will this mean more gun control, but it will mean that our other liberties will be compromised as well.

There will be three others who will appear on the ballot for governor in the general election. One Libertarian, a Green candidate and a candidate from the Working Class party. The latter two are of a socialist background. Promoting their candidacies might give Moore a run for his money, but will it be enough? The other is a strong pro-freedom advocate who is gaining the interest of a few people in the media and some disenfranchised folks. It will be interesting to see how these factors play. As I understand, unaffiliated candidate Kyle Sefcik didn't get enough signatures to get on the ballot.

Where I think we need to pour it on is in two or three Congressional races as well as several state legislative races. The first and sixth Congressional districts are critical! In the former, I THINK we're safe but we must be on our guard. In the latter, we need to do all we can to win that seat! If there's another district that might be in play, that MAY be the second, but I'm not holding out much hope. In the General Assembly, we need to concentrate our efforts in central Anne Arundel County (ALL of District 33 especially), the city of Hagerstown (D. 2B), northern and western Howard and far northern Montgomery counties (D.9), the Overlea, Parkville, Nottingham areas in Baltimore County (D. 8), Far southern St. Mary's County (D. 29B), southern Harford County (D. 34) and northern Baltimore County (D. 42A). The area in northern Anne Arundel (D. 12B) may be in play. I would like to see the area around Annapolis (D. 30) provide us with a victory, too. There will be other areas we'll need to keep an eye on as well. Those include, but are not limited to the county races in Anne Arundel, Frederick, Montgomery, Baltimore and Howard.