AR ban likelihood and impact

[JJakes]

Sorry if this has already been asked and answered or if this belongs somewhere else. I couldn't find it.

I keep reading and hearing about what happens after November. Given that it looks like a 50-50 chance the (supposedly) pro-2A candidate won't win, how likely is a ban on AR15s and ARs, in general?

And what would that mean for folks who already own them? Would they be grandfathered? Or have to turn them in? The latter seems highly unlikely to me.

Trying to prioritize my wish list. Am saving up for a better sporting clays gun but I don't hear any talk of banning clays busting shotguns.

Thanks!

 

[AssMan]

I personally think it's unlikely in the near term (24mos).

 

[alucard0822]

Can't really count on much, it's basically 2 sides pushing against each other, the harder we push, and the more money and time we put behind efforts, the better off we will be regardless of who wins. Even if Trump wins, Obama won't be the last anti-gun president, we may have a window of opportunity to pass things like Universal reciprocity, get a decent judge on SCOTUS, and maybe roll back a couple EOs and bans that have been around for too long, so the harder we work, the further we can push, and shift the debate further away from bans. If Hitlery wins, then we'll be fighting more defense, a bad SCOTUS appointment could screw us for decades, but I doubt she is much more anti-gun than Obama, if he could ban and confiscate everything, he would, he started working against us on day1, we kept up the fight, and actually gained a good bit of ground, so a HRC presidency isn't the end of the world, but it is several more years of defense, instead of an opportunity at offense for a change.

 

[Combloc]

If that hag gets elected, look for prices to go stratospheric overnight. It will be a panic like you have never seen before.

 

[axshon]

If that hag gets elected, look for prices to go stratospheric overnight. It will be a panic like you have never seen before.

Yep. Good luck getting anything on November 9th that isn't a bolt action or an air gun.

According to my BIL, Mass sold ~10,000 AR style guns in 2015. The day the AG announced the crack down they sold 2,500 in an afternoon. Didn't verify his numbers but the lines around the side of the gun shops were well documented. Best to get what you want before the polls start to show a clear leader.

Then again, it's best to get what you want when you can anyway...

 

[Pinecone]

Clinton's talk of a gun ban back in the early 90s brought S&W out of the bring of closing down due to bankruptcy.

The best thing for the gun business in the US is an anti gun campaign.

 

[tomh]

Given that it looks like a 50-50 chance the (supposedly) pro-2A candidate won't win, how likely is a ban on AR15s and ARs, in general?

Personally I think you are asking the wrong question. If the wrong candidate wins, something like up to 5 supreme court justice seats will be established by the wrong candidate.

It won't be a question of a AR15 ban or not, it will be the entire kit and kaboodle (the 2nd Amendment) altogether. To have or not have firearms.

Seriously!

 

[Doctor_M]

The outcome of the congressional races will have much more to do with future bans than the Presidential election, IMHO.

 

[Sealion]

The outcome of the congressional races will have much more to do with future bans than the Presidential election, IMHO.

Agreed. While electing the hag will greatly impact SCOTUS, legislative control is key to blocking any bans. Regardless, everyone needs to vote. I know it probably doesn't matter much in MD, but she can't be seen getting a mandate.

 

[rockstarr]

Clinton's talk of a gun ban back in the early 90s brought S&W out of the bring of closing down due to bankruptcy.

The best thing for the gun business in the US is an anti gun campaign.

yup- I know several who have purchased lower level ar-15's and are just waiting for the price hike to make a few hundred back on each one.

 

[GlocksAndPatriots]

While this is all true, you have to keep in mind that between 50-60% of Americans support an "assault weapons ban," mainly because they are misinformed about what they are calling to ban. The Court is more important, because we won't have the legislatures forever.

 

[Muleskinner]

The outcome of the congressional races will have much more to do with future bans than the Presidential election, IMHO.

The precedent has been set...Executive orders will not be challenged...She could implement a semi auto ban and congress will not blink...

 

[Blacksmith101]

The precedent has been set...Executive orders will not be challenged...She could implement a semi auto ban and congress will not blink...

They will be if the President is Republican and Congress is Democrat and the order is one they don't like. Precedent only works in one direction for "D's".

 

[lilgibby]

Personally I think you are asking the wrong question. If the wrong candidate wins, something like up to 5 supreme court justice seats will be established by the wrong candidate.

It won't be a question of a AR15 ban or not, it will be the entire kit and kaboodle (the 2nd Amendment) altogether. To have or not have firearms.

Seriously!

That will result in another civil war and a drastic blow to the US economy.