Data analysis of 1800 Shootings by Caliber

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  • ToolAA

    Ultimate Member
    MDS Supporter
    Jun 17, 2016
    10,573
    God's Country
    As Biggfoot44 pointed out, this is a secondary analysis of the Eleflitz data. I think a lot of the questions being asked in this thread are discussed by the original author:


    Thank you and Bigfoot44 for identifying the source for the original data and linking that previous article. It’s a great read. It really helped to put my OP into perspective.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     

    lazarus

    Ultimate Member
    Jun 23, 2015
    13,726
    Dirty Harry would approve.
    According to the data, no he wouldn't. He would have used a .357 if he wanted to be REALLY effective. Discussed up thread on what the original author had said, there are flaws in the data collection. But I can't conceive of a world where a .357 is more effective than a .44 magnum, unless it's a world where people only get shot in the foot with the 44.
     

    Biggfoot44

    Ultimate Member
    Aug 2, 2009
    33,137
    According to the data, no he wouldn't. He would have used a .357 if he wanted to be REALLY effective. Discussed up thread on what the original author had said, there are flaws in the data collection. But I can't conceive of a world where a .357 is more effective than a .44 magnum, unless it's a world where people only get shot in the foot with the 44.

    Counterintuitive perhaps , but indeed so . It has to do with bullet performance , and bullet design parameters .

    .357 Mag defensive/ duty ammo , in the sterotypical 125 and 110 gr JHP are optimized for massive expansion , and moderate penetration on human targets . To the point that some criticize them for too much expansion .

    Most .44 Mag ammo has at least partial eye on hunting of deer and larger game . Even 180 jhp . and 210 Silvertip is designed for the compromise overlap of deep end of plausible for human defense & shallow side of plausible for broadside on whitetail .
     

    lazarus

    Ultimate Member
    Jun 23, 2015
    13,726
    Counterintuitive perhaps , but indeed so . It has to do with bullet performance , and bullet design parameters .

    .357 Mag defensive/ duty ammo , in the sterotypical 125 and 110 gr JHP are optimized for massive expansion , and moderate penetration on human targets . To the point that some criticize them for too much expansion .

    Most .44 Mag ammo has at least partial eye on hunting of deer and larger game . Even 180 jhp . and 210 Silvertip is designed for the compromise overlap of deep end of plausible for human defense & shallow side of plausible for broadside on whitetail .
    Could be the case depending on what is being used again, sure.

    Most stuff being vaguely equal and the 44 mag hands .357 its hat to eat. For example The Hornady 125 and 158gr XTP loads penetrate 14.5" and 24.7" and expand .57 and .53" respectively. 44 mag 240gr loading is 20.4" penetration and .64" of expansion from what I can find (also lucky gunner tests, but not sure exactly equal). .357 135gr critical duty and 140gr leverEverloution is 19.2 and 20.4" and .50" and .54" of expansion. The 125gr critical defense is 14.5" and .54" of expansion. The 44 mag 225gr leverEverloution is 20.4" and .67" of expansion.

    Those 180 and 210gr jhp silvertip are likely to have even more expansion and less penetration out of a handgun owing to the higher velocities.

    Finding something vaguely similar to Lucky Gunner's tests, the 180gr XTP Underwood load penetrates through 6 layers of denim and then 11.8" of calibrated 10% ballistic gelatin and expands to .945"...

    A 240gr V-crown is managing between .61 and .699" of expansion and over 20" of penetration.

    Then again, how many people are swinging plain SPRN or just hard case lead or FMJ out of their 44 magnum? Might be some of that same effect as 9mm.
     

    Biggfoot44

    Ultimate Member
    Aug 2, 2009
    33,137
    Quite a few . Because in mainstream availability over the years , to be controllable . and/ or non stressful to shoot lots of rounds in practice , they are using " Cowboy " rounds , or mid range rounds . ie , 240 lead @ 750- ish , or 240 lead @ nominal 1,000 fps ( nominal in 6 inch , typically 900- ish in 4 inch ). This mid range load was most common used within Detroit PD and Chicago PD in the years it was authorized , and constitute a large % of the documentated cases used in such studies .

    A good expanding .429 bullet at those velocities would be a worthwhile thing . But in modern era , most commonly seen as a .44 Spl +P from the boutique mfgs , rather than as a downloaded .44 Magnum .

    And then there's the. .41 Magnum Silvertip !
     

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