I am not, I just do not think its as crystal clear as it seems.
Keep in mind, Kennedy authored Obergefell v. Hodges, which rejected a narrow framing of the "right to same sex -marriage," and instead embraced a "comprehensive" view of marriage.
I think it will be extremely difficult to get 5 votes on the court on board with a narrow framing of the right ("right to concealed carry", "right to open carry") especially if the narrow framing implies striking more state laws than necessary, which the Court is loathe to do. Far more likely they will embraced a broader "comprehensive" view and permit the States to regulate the manner. In Peruta, they do not even need to strike any state laws, just local regulation, if they embrace the 3-judge panel opinion!
Go back and re-read the controlling opinion in Obergefell v. Hodges, then close your eyes and imagine Kennedy voting for the narrow framing of the right purely as open carry. Don't get me wrong, I think open carry advocates have a case, at least until the Civil War. But I do not see 5 votes for it. And if it comes down to framing, I think people will compromise in the face of uncertainty.
I don't know,...but when someone as smart as Scalia states, " Its opinion perfectly captured..." it seems crystal clear to Scalia...and me.
I can see your point...Kennedy being the deciding factor, but no one knew how Kennedy felt about same sex-marriage prior to his majority opinion in Obergefell v. Hodges...I need to read that one, as I haven't looked at it yet. But here, we have Heller to go by and he signed onto it...He could obviously change his mind, but I don't see why. Think about this, if the states are allowed to decide the manner of carrying a firearm, one would never be able to exercise a fundamental right wherever they may travel throughout the country do to one state requiring a license, another not and so on... When they take Norman, I know..I know, they will conclude open carry to be the protected right throughout the country. Now one can openly carry a firearm in self-defense through every state that they may travel without fear of prosecution for not carrying in a manner that a state otherwise could have prescribed if they allow that.
If they take the Peruta case, which I still think they won't, Gorsuch isn't Scalia, so we don't know where he's going to go with it. Then you would be right and the right to carry firearms outside the home will have turned into a preconditioned privilege...I wonder how many permits I would have to pay for just to legally exercise my 2nd Amendment right to self-defense while traveling?...Think about that for a moment.