Do a poll/survey here and you'll find that 99.99% of us with firearms in our houses think O'Malley's plan is trash
Colleen Barry, associate professor and associate chair for research and practice, the Johns Hopkins "Bloomberg" School of Public HealthA Goucher poll?
Probably as fair as the "balanced panel of experts" in their upcoming forum on "Reform v. Rights: Gun Violence in America."
http://blogs.goucher.edu/intheloop/2614/reform-v-rights-gun-violence-in-america/
Its all in the way they pose the questions. You can make any poll come out the way you want.
"Do you or a member of your household own a gun?"
"Do you or a member of your household LEGALLY own a gun?"
Interviews are conducted by a staff of professionally trained, paid student
interviewers.
So the fact remains: why are so many Marylanders in gun-owning households so apparently supportive of---or at least amenable to---these new measures?
....
Figuring this out is a key prerequisite to persuading them to get active in defense of our rights. And their rights, too. For the future, if not against the current round of bad bills.
In the meantime, we need to do all we can to win amendments to soften the impact of the O'Malley steamroller....
I have new research, it says 92% of polls are made up to suit the desired outcome. Then there are the majority of MDers who supported slavery circa 1860, or those that supported segregation in the 60's, it's been pretty well established that the founders feared tyranny of the majority just as much if not more than tyranny of a monarchy, our rights are not subject to mob rule.
The methodology is published here: http://marylandreporter.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/March-2013-Goucher-Poll-Results-Wednesday.pdf
Includes demographics of respondents and all survey questions.
And I hate to say it, but most of the questions are worded quite plainly (aside from the always-vague term "assault rifle").
So the fact remains: why are so many Marylanders in gun-owning households so apparently supportive of---or at least amenable to---these new measures? My guesses:
1) In the sample, many from such households were not the gun-owners themselves. I know many marriages where husband is a gun-owner and wife is much less enthusiastic about firearms. Depends on who answers the pollster.
2) Confirming that theory, a recent Post poll showed that of the 29% of respondents in "gun-owning households," only 2/3 had personally purchased a firearm in the past ten years. If that is meant to represent gun-owners, I expect it is somewhat misleading; if it represents a mix of respondents (some gun-owners and some non-gun-owners who share a household with a gun-owner) it is much more believable.
3) Too many gun-owners are in fact not just resigned but amenable to new restrictions, even if they do not understand the extent of the hassle and hazard they are inviting.
The very unfortunate political reality in Maryland seems to be that gun-owners (compared to non-gun-owners) are disproportionately concentrated in the less populated, least Democratic portions of the state (no great surprise, really) and distributed too diffusely in the mega-counties of Central Maryland, blunting some of our strength in Annapolis. But also many gun-owners (esp. those who are Democrats, not DINOs) are amendable to finger-printing and licensing in part, I presume, because they are disturbed (as we all are) by the levels of illegal gun violence in this state, especially PG and Baltimore City. However, unlike most of us in this forum, they seem to believe that the regulation of legal sales won't much affect them, and will likely reduce the supply of guns to criminals.
That's wrong, of course, given that from 2004-2011 alone there where 700,000 NICS background checks in Maryland. That doesn't count the secondary sales which don't require a NICS check or cases where new residents bring their own guns. Just implausible that impediments and restrictions on future primary sales will make a significant difference to the illegal supply of firearms to felons.
Speculating, I also think that many gun-owners in Maryland are not as often "single-issue" voters as in some parts of the country. Whatever their views, they fit into a larger mix of perceptions, values, and partisan commitments. In other words, I tend to think that in Maryland, gun owners who lean Democratic are more likely to be more passionate about being a Democrat than they are passionate about firearms. Just a guess, really, but the norms in the state's most populous counties would seem to support this idea. May be obvious.
Feel free to disagree with me. But what we need to get a better understanding of is why, unfortunately, poll after poll seems to suggest that some, many--too many--Maryland gun-owners are not strongly opposed to licensing and finger-printing (even when many of us are). Remember, we here in this forum are the most passionate about our rights and the shooting sports. Let's not assume most Maryland gun-owners necessarily think like us.
Figuring this out is a key prerequisite to persuading them to get active in defense of our rights. And their rights, too. For the future, if not against the current round of bad bills.
In the meantime, we need to do all we can to win amendments to soften the impact of the O'Malley steamroller....
Feel free to disagree with me. But what we need to get a better understanding of is why, unfortunately, poll after poll seems to suggest that some, many--too many--Maryland gun-owners are not strongly opposed to licensing and finger-printing (even when many of us are).
The methodology is published here: http://marylandreporter.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/March-2013-Goucher-Poll-Results-Wednesday.pdf
Includes demographics of respondents and all survey questions.
And I hate to say it, but most of the questions are worded quite plainly (aside from the always-vague term "assault rifle").
So the fact remains: why are so many Marylanders in gun-owning households so apparently supportive of---or at least amenable to---these new measures? My guesses:
1) In the sample, many from such households were not the gun-owners themselves. I know many marriages where husband is a gun-owner and wife is much less enthusiastic about firearms. Depends on who answers the pollster.
2) Confirming that theory, a recent Post poll showed that of the 29% of respondents in "gun-owning households," only 2/3 had personally purchased a firearm in the past ten years. If that is meant to represent gun-owners, I expect it is somewhat misleading; if it represents a mix of respondents (some gun-owners and some non-gun-owners who share a household with a gun-owner) it is much more believable.
3) Too many gun-owners are in fact not just resigned but amenable to new restrictions, even if they do not understand the extent of the hassle and hazard they are inviting.
The very unfortunate political reality in Maryland seems to be that gun-owners (compared to non-gun-owners) are disproportionately concentrated in the less populated, least Democratic portions of the state (no great surprise, really) and distributed too diffusely in the mega-counties of Central Maryland, blunting some of our strength in Annapolis. But also many gun-owners (esp. those who are Democrats, not DINOs) are amendable to finger-printing and licensing in part, I presume, because they are disturbed (as we all are) by the levels of illegal gun violence in this state, especially PG and Baltimore City. However, unlike most of us in this forum, they seem to believe that the regulation of legal sales won't much affect them, and will likely reduce the supply of guns to criminals.
That's wrong, of course, given that from 2004-2011 alone there where 700,000 NICS background checks in Maryland. That doesn't count the secondary sales which don't require a NICS check or cases where new residents bring their own guns. Just implausible that impediments and restrictions on future primary sales will make a significant difference to the illegal supply of firearms to felons.
Speculating, I also think that many gun-owners in Maryland are not as often "single-issue" voters as in some parts of the country. Whatever their views, they fit into a larger mix of perceptions, values, and partisan commitments. In other words, I tend to think that in Maryland, gun owners who lean Democratic are more likely to be more passionate about being a Democrat than they are passionate about firearms. Just a guess, really, but the norms in the state's most populous counties would seem to support this idea. May be obvious.
Feel free to disagree with me. But what we need to get a better understanding of is why, unfortunately, poll after poll seems to suggest that some, many--too many--Maryland gun-owners are not strongly opposed to licensing and finger-printing (even when many of us are). Remember, we here in this forum are the most passionate about our rights and the shooting sports. Let's not assume most Maryland gun-owners necessarily think like us.
Figuring this out is a key prerequisite to persuading them to get active in defense of our rights. And their rights, too. For the future, if not against the current round of bad bills.
In the meantime, we need to do all we can to win amendments to soften the impact of the O'Malley steamroller....
You are assuming way to much.
This is a standard push poll.
Also notice the use of probe questions..
Push polls are paid for by clients; this one is not. Push polls are usually nakedly skewed; this is not. Probing for intensity is a standard polling technique. It can be abused, but doesn't mean it was. If you're going to critique it, please rely on the facts we have available from this particular poll, this particular sample.
Prior poster nails some of the issues at work in these measured attitudes. Makes sense. This is the climate in which we must operate in Maryland, like it or not. Even among gun-owners, we have much persuading to do.
Goucher College --- that place is nothing but Lesbians, Art Lovers and Tree Huggers. I wouldn't say it's an accurate poll that reflects general society. Go poll a college in Wyoming and see the results. It would be opposite --- nearly 100% pro gun..... Surveys and "random" polls are a bunch of BS.
RP