Worman v Healy

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  • esqappellate

    President, MSI
    Feb 12, 2012
    7,408
    So, all these cases are being held for NYC. If NYC doesn't reach the merits on mootness grounds, then the Court will have lots of cases to choose from for a grant. Anyone want to start a betting pool (no money, just fun) on which case they will grant, if NYC goes away?
     

    wolfwood

    Ultimate Member
    Aug 24, 2011
    1,361
    So, all these cases are being held for NYC. If NYC doesn't reach the merits on mootness grounds, then the Court will have lots of cases to choose from for a grant. Anyone want to start a betting pool (no money, just fun) on which case they will grant, if NYC goes away?

    Pena v Cid is my bet
     

    Fedora

    Active Member
    Dec 16, 2018
    125
    I would think it won't really matter which case is finally decided. The held cases cover enough of the horizon that the most likely opinion - regardless of the case taken - will be a decision on how 2A cases should be decided rather than what the decision should be.

    But I don't think NYS will be mooted. If it were to be, and one of the "held" cases revived, then the decision would be kicked into the Oct 2020 term, and it's not clear the Court would favor that.

    I am not a lawyer.
     

    Master_P

    Member
    May 27, 2015
    77
    So, all these cases are being held for NYC. If NYC doesn't reach the merits on mootness grounds, then the Court will have lots of cases to choose from for a grant. Anyone want to start a betting pool (no money, just fun) on which case they will grant, if NYC goes away?

    Mance v. Barr implicates a federal law. Zero chance it gets mooted.

    All the other 2A cases implicate state laws. Granting one of those runs the risk of riling up the anti's to start the mootness shenanigans all over again... especially if they get away with it in NYSRPA.

    Mance is also a very easy case to resolve. At the time of the founding, you could travel across state lines to acquire a firearm in common-use.
     

    esqappellate

    President, MSI
    Feb 12, 2012
    7,408
    My bet is Pena (the California microstamping law). It is as irrational as the NYC ordinance and equally devoid of any reasonable public safety rationale. That makes it an easy case. My second choice is Rogers because of the square conflict with Wrenn. Rogers is the NJ carry case and it was first in line among the 3 NJ carry cases now before the Court and was filed before Gould and Malpasso (2 other carry cases). No way that NJ will moot that case. Mance is tougher, precisely because it is a federal law, which the Court is usually reluctant to invalidate. Worman involves evil black rifles and a decision there would cause a firestorm of criticism. Too high profile. They can use any of these cases to establish a standard of review and then GVR all the rest.
     

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